Animated 10-day Hourly and Total Deposition Forecasts of I-131 and Cs-137

"The graphics presented here

Submitted by Anonymous (not verified) on Mon, 2011-09-12 00:13.

"The graphics presented here are a 10 day forecast of the movement of the plume based on an assumed constant radionuclide release rate of 10^12 becquerels/second (Bq/s) for both I-131 and Cs-137."

One Tera-becquerel per second sounds like quite a lot. Last NSC estimate for August was 0.0002 Tera-Becquerel per hour:

http://www3.nhk.or.jp/daily/english/17_30.html

They can be downplaying, of course, but I doubt they would be able to hide releases similar to the ones detected all over the world during March.

current emissions

Submitted by Red Mercury (not verified) on Mon, 2011-09-12 05:32.

It is certain that the current Fukudai situation is different that it was in March when cores and or fuel pools where also blasting up into the jet stream.

Now we have huge molten slagheaps of conventional and MOX corium boiling off radionuclides at a tremendous and probably fairly steady state in close proximity to water which vaporizes joining the hot gases from the corium.

What would be the radionuclide release rate for all that lovely corium?

What percentage of that would escape as gases? Would that work out to the 'assumed constant radionuclide release rate of 10^12 becquerels/second (Bq/s) for both I-131 and Cs-137' ?

'Last NSC estimate for August' .... Are they our best source on U and Pu molten core behavior? I hope not.....