Post-Fukushima Infant Deaths in the Pacific Northwest Update.
http://www.counterpunch.org/cockburn06172011.html You have to scroll down to see the article.The first part is a story about Weiner. Baby death reinvestigated and expanded with Pierre Sprey, CounterPunch's statistical consultant. To answer all the cherry picker, panic monger accusations. More cities, more weeks, disturbing results. Rick Cromack don't fear or panic. Just read and make your own decision.Or don't.
See what I mean? Give 'em
See what I mean? Give 'em this much: They're predictable.
wrong wrong wrong
You predicted wrong.
You said he would be called a shill, a plant or a Cromack.
sir, yes sir!
sir, yes sir!
But isn't it enough having
But isn't it enough having corrupt politicians, decorative regulation agencies and secretive cold greedy corporations surrounding nuclear power that we also need incompetent activists against it?
A non-specialist has proven Sherman and Mangano wrong, for god's sake. Those guys are not supposed to act like teenage bloggers messing around with online statistics until they find a correlation that seems to prove their theory.
Pacific NW 4 City CDC Data
Ok. Since nobody else stepped up to post the data:
Here's what I pulled from the CDC weekly reports for weeks 1-23 in 2011 for the 4 cities the statistical consultant used (Portland, Seattle, Spokane & Tacoma). Weeks 2-11 and 12-21 are the weeks of interest. It should be very easy for someone on this forum to plug these numbers into a spreadsheet and determine if there was a significant increase/spike in the second 10 week period.
As always, I ask that you verify the info I've provided by pulling the data for yourself from CDC Mortality Tables. I could have made a copy/paste error. So, I'd appreciate the review.
Portland
4
4
-
3
-
4
2
-
4
1
-
2
-
-
1
-
3
-
2
1
2
1
1
Seattle
-
2
2
3
1
3
4
3
1
2
2
6
3
-
2
4
5
2
3
2
-
-
1
Spokane
2
1
-
-
-
1
2
1
-
-
1
-
1
3
-
2
1
1
2
-
1
1
2
Tacoma
1
2
1
1
2
1
1
2
-
2
-
1
-
-
1
1
-
-
-
1
-
-
-
Portland Pre: 20 Post:
Portland
Pre: 20
Post: 11
Seattle
Pre: 29
Post: 22
Spokane
Pre: 6
Post: 14
Tacoma
Pre: 13
Post: 3
TOTAL
Pre: 68
Post: 50
I did this with pen and paper, please, can anyone double check? I'm seeing a 26.5% decrease in infant deaths after Fukushima. Are you sure these are the data they are using? Was counterpunch making a comparison with previous years and finding the increase there? WHAT IS GOING ON WITH THESE ARTICLES?
Yes
Yes, that's what I figured also. So what gives?
You have 23 weeks per city,
You have 23 weeks per city, which weeks are considered pre-Fukushima and which are considered post-Fukushima?
Very hard to dispute, too
Very hard to dispute, too bad that we have to wait a year for a more precise picture, and 18 years for SAT results.
Statistically insignificant difference in original cities?
Am I understanding it correctly? The statistical consultant found a statistically insignificant difference in the original cities?
Yes I think that's what he
Yes I think that's what he is saying, once he increased it to 10 weeks before and 10 weeks after. Didn't you guys do that same thing on the other thread?
Yes
It looks like he did the same 10 week before check. The statistical consultant is now looking at the 4 cities in the northern most west coast (Portland, Tacoma, Seattle and Spokane).
I pulled the last 5 years data for those 4 cities. I'm not seeing the same numbers he reported for 2011. I'll let someone else pull the numbers and see what they get. Please post them if you do. Maybe I had a copy and paste error or something.
Again, anyone that wants to check for themselves can do so in the following link: Mortality Reporting System
Corrected link
Mortality Reporting System
You can also click on the "MMWR Mortality Tables" link in the other page to get to the correct one.
Is anyone testing milk in
Is anyone testing milk in Seattle?