Rick: Reconvening per your request

Also posted this in the original thread.

Rick: Reconvening per your request
Submitted by Anonymous (not verified) on Sun, 2011-05-15 16:44.
Hi Rick et al,

Per your request, we are reconvening to review the current trend in
the BRAWM team's reports.

What are your feelings now?

Link to original post: http://www.nuc.berkeley.edu/node/3705

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Rick, It looks like the
Submitted by Anonymous (not verified) on Sun, 2011-05-01 03:55.
Rick,

It looks like the levels are still dropping in air and rain samples. The plateu is in deposition at this time. If incoming levels continue to decrease then the accumulated values won't rise that much more.

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Fair enough... I'm willing to be talked out of 3 - 5x Chernobyl!
Submitted by R. Cromack (not verified) on Sun, 2011-05-01 04:05.
I guess we'll give it a couple more weeks and see if the levels drop appreciably over that timeframe... Say we reconvene May 15? [Grin]

Rick.

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Once detection gets below
Submitted by Anonymous (not verified) on Sun, 2011-05-01 04:16.
Once detection gets below MDAs we won't know what is still incoming. All we can look at then is values from the food chain.

The Eurad maps are still a good way to get total deposition. Even if the numbers aren't spot on, you can get a feel for the rate of change and extend that out in time.

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Again... Fair enough...
Submitted by R. Cromack (not verified) on Sun, 2011-05-01 04:20.
...Btw, are you a member of the BRAWM team?

...So, best guess, and I promise not to hold you to anything: Compared to U.S. / North American affects from Chernobyl, where do YOU think we'll end up? 60%? 70%? 100%? More?

...Let's presume you're correct, btw, and that air and rain concentrations finally dip BELOW MDA, more or less permanently, at mid-month (May).

Rick.

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