Submitted by Anonymous (not verified) on Sun, 2011-05-15 08:52.
We all rely on weather "forecasts" every day. Are you suggesting forecasts are simulations not based on the scientific accuracy? How do you know? The radiation forecasts were rated to be 95 percent accurate.
Submitted by Anonymous (not verified) on Sun, 2011-05-15 10:27.
I have depended upon NILU simulations to see what kind of radiation may be coming at what day/time, but have not relied upon them for "how much". I have shut off the ventilation and stayed indoors during the worst times, just because I can...
Yet I've always had questions.
In NILU's previous published simulations they were "using daily releases distributed evenly of":
0.1E18 Bq I-131
0.1 E17 Cs-137
0.1 E19 Xe-133
per day.
I have found it interesting that, before they took down them down, the simulated plumes varied in their intensity. Not sure why that would happen if they were using a constant release rate for their simulation purposed. Why did the simulated plumes change in density when the daily release amounts stayed the same? Would't the same density of plume be shown every day? That confused me.
Another question: Now, you can go to NILU's "backdoor" area and click on various files to see the current simulations that they are not publishing. Please note that they may be based on different release rates. I don't know. Is there someone who can interpret the following? This is what is on some of the I-133 simulation files (that look VERY scary, indeed).
I-131
Mean Value: 0.411E+03
Maximum value: 0.554E+07
Does that mean that they are using those amounts to run the simulations? I don't know much about math. How does:
I-133 =
Mean Value: 0.411E+03
Maximum value: 0.554E+07
relate to:
I-131 = 0.1E18 Bq
Is it more or less?
And how do the daily release rates of 0.1E18 Bq I-131, 0.1 E17 Cs-137, and 0.1 E19 Xe-133 per day compare to the 154 TBq. per day that TEPCO has admitted were released, at least until April 5.
This has always confused me. Can anyone clarify these issues for me, so I can relax? :-) I'm sure it would help loads of people who are freaking out.
Now that Unit 1 is in full meltdown - on the floor, so to speak - it seems that what Arnie and some other nuclear specialists have been saying could be true. Namely, all 3 reactors and the holding tank in Unit 4 are in meltdown, most of them completely. They are releasing radiation every day. Perhaps that's why the NILU site has been taken down and their newer unpublished simulations look so dire? Or are they just playing around with new simulations and don't want to scare people?
I have a Digilert 100 geiger counter. Nothing special and its readings are on the low side, due to a small opening. The CPM average around 18-25 indoors. They have gone up around the times when, according to NILU, plumes should have been coming through, but not by much - maybe 10 CPM. So, according to the Digilert, we are being affected, but not by much. Yet, my skin and eyes still burn and my mouth still tingles when I go outside. So, I'm assuming Yes, there is ionizing radiation floating around, but perhaps not the huge amounts that NILU's "new, backdoor" simulations are showing with their very scary colors.
Anyone with math skills that can interpret the above numbers or any members of the BRAWM Team (we love you!) please, please comment.
Submitted by Anonymous (not verified) on Sun, 2011-05-15 07:55.
At least that guy posted something...
Our goverments and global media didn´t. They are in black out. hahahahaha
SHAME... SHAME... SHAME...
Shame of goverments and SHAME of global media.
Long life for the University and long life for japanese media...
We are proud of you.
Go go go Berkeley University
Go go go Asahi.com, Kyodo, Jiji agency, Reuter.
Submitted by Anonymous (not verified) on Sun, 2011-05-15 08:28.
Is posting their findings here based on fact. These simulations, as well as the youtube video, are based on speculation. Are you trying to equate the scientific findings of the BRAWN Team with a simulator?
simulation vs. forecast
We all rely on weather "forecasts" every day. Are you suggesting forecasts are simulations not based on the scientific accuracy? How do you know? The radiation forecasts were rated to be 95 percent accurate.
I have depended upon NILU
I have depended upon NILU simulations to see what kind of radiation may be coming at what day/time, but have not relied upon them for "how much". I have shut off the ventilation and stayed indoors during the worst times, just because I can...
Yet I've always had questions.
In NILU's previous published simulations they were "using daily releases distributed evenly of":
0.1E18 Bq I-131
0.1 E17 Cs-137
0.1 E19 Xe-133
per day.
I have found it interesting that, before they took down them down, the simulated plumes varied in their intensity. Not sure why that would happen if they were using a constant release rate for their simulation purposed. Why did the simulated plumes change in density when the daily release amounts stayed the same? Would't the same density of plume be shown every day? That confused me.
Another question: Now, you can go to NILU's "backdoor" area and click on various files to see the current simulations that they are not publishing. Please note that they may be based on different release rates. I don't know. Is there someone who can interpret the following? This is what is on some of the I-133 simulation files (that look VERY scary, indeed).
I-131
Mean Value: 0.411E+03
Maximum value: 0.554E+07
Does that mean that they are using those amounts to run the simulations? I don't know much about math. How does:
I-133 =
Mean Value: 0.411E+03
Maximum value: 0.554E+07
relate to:
I-131 = 0.1E18 Bq
Is it more or less?
And how do the daily release rates of 0.1E18 Bq I-131, 0.1 E17 Cs-137, and 0.1 E19 Xe-133 per day compare to the 154 TBq. per day that TEPCO has admitted were released, at least until April 5.
This has always confused me. Can anyone clarify these issues for me, so I can relax? :-) I'm sure it would help loads of people who are freaking out.
Now that Unit 1 is in full meltdown - on the floor, so to speak - it seems that what Arnie and some other nuclear specialists have been saying could be true. Namely, all 3 reactors and the holding tank in Unit 4 are in meltdown, most of them completely. They are releasing radiation every day. Perhaps that's why the NILU site has been taken down and their newer unpublished simulations look so dire? Or are they just playing around with new simulations and don't want to scare people?
I have a Digilert 100 geiger counter. Nothing special and its readings are on the low side, due to a small opening. The CPM average around 18-25 indoors. They have gone up around the times when, according to NILU, plumes should have been coming through, but not by much - maybe 10 CPM. So, according to the Digilert, we are being affected, but not by much. Yet, my skin and eyes still burn and my mouth still tingles when I go outside. So, I'm assuming Yes, there is ionizing radiation floating around, but perhaps not the huge amounts that NILU's "new, backdoor" simulations are showing with their very scary colors.
Anyone with math skills that can interpret the above numbers or any members of the BRAWM Team (we love you!) please, please comment.
Simulation
Does the maker of this video understand that is is a SIMULATION? He's posting it, and his rant, as if it were based on fact.
At least that guy posted
At least that guy posted something...
Our goverments and global media didn´t. They are in black out. hahahahaha
SHAME... SHAME... SHAME...
Shame of goverments and SHAME of global media.
Long life for the University and long life for japanese media...
We are proud of you.
Go go go Berkeley University
Go go go Asahi.com, Kyodo, Jiji agency, Reuter.
The BRAWN team
Is posting their findings here based on fact. These simulations, as well as the youtube video, are based on speculation. Are you trying to equate the scientific findings of the BRAWN Team with a simulator?
We need scientific data based on fact only.