Submitted by Anonymous (not verified) on Mon, 2011-04-25 14:32.
It's still unclear to me if the Nilu and Eurad forecast are of any use. It doesn't say on either site if they are actually basing their predictions on CTBTO data or if the source terms are hypothetical. Each site has a disclaimer that the data is either worst-case or not verified, and then they also talk about total column instead of ground-level readings.
It would be nice if one of these sites could answer to more accurate data from what the CTBTO has found, and what the best estimate fir source term is, without doing a worst-case analysis.
Can someone from The Team
Can someone from The Team estimate total combined (all isotopes) fallout on the Westcoast?
It's still unclear to me if
It's still unclear to me if the Nilu and Eurad forecast are of any use. It doesn't say on either site if they are actually basing their predictions on CTBTO data or if the source terms are hypothetical. Each site has a disclaimer that the data is either worst-case or not verified, and then they also talk about total column instead of ground-level readings.
It would be nice if one of these sites could answer to more accurate data from what the CTBTO has found, and what the best estimate fir source term is, without doing a worst-case analysis.
NILU and EURAD
My recent comments on these forecasts might be of interest to you:
A note on interpreting EURAD and NILU plume forecasts
A further note about EURAD comparing to CTBTO results
Basically, they are highly uncertain and say so themselves. EURAD has at least begun refining their forecasts to try to match the CTBTO data.
Mark [BRAWM Team Member]