BRAWM Team can you please comment on this article?- Atmospheric radiation leak underestimated

http://www.yomiuri.co.jp/dy/national/20110424dy04.htm

Atmospheric radiation leak underestimated

The Yomiuri Shimbun

Data released by the government indicates radioactive material was leaking into the atmosphere from the Fukushima No. 1 nuclear power plant in early April in greater quantities than previously estimated.

Radioactive material was being released into the atmosphere from the plant at an estimated rate of 154 terabecquerels per day as of April 5, according to data released by the Cabinet Office's Nuclear Safety Commission on Saturday.

The NSC previously estimated radiation leakage on April 5 at "less than 1 terabecquerel per hour."

Iodine-131 and cesium-137 were released into the atmosphere that day at the estimated rates of 0.69 terabecquerel per hour and 0.14 terabecquerel per hour, respectively, the NSC said.

Emissions are converted into iodine-131 equivalents for assessment on the international nuclear event scale (INES), to arrive at the total 154 terabecquerels per day, the nuclear safety watchdog said.

One terabecquerel equals 1 trillion becquerels.

On April 17, plant operator Tokyo Electric Power Co. said in its plan for stabilization of the crippled reactors it would not start to get radiation leakage under control until the plan's fourth month of implementation.

This would mean 10,000 terabecquerels of radioactive substances would be released into the atmosphere from the plant during the coming three months, according to simple calculations based on the estimated emission rate as of April 5.

Emissions in that three-month period alone would therefore exceed the level necessary for a Level 6 severity rating on the INES, the globally accepted measure for evaluating nuclear accidents.

The ongoing crisis at the Fukushima plant has been rated a maximum Level 7 on the scale, which was established by the International Atomic Energy Agency and the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development in 1992.

The total amount of radioactive material discharged from the plant from March 11 to early April was estimated between 370,000 and 630,000 terabecquerels, according to government sources.

The commission, however, said the figures were estimates only, "with a considerable margin of error." Radiation levels around the six-reactor complex have been slowly falling, it said.

(Apr. 25, 2011)

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non-BRAWM reply / comment

Obviously, I'm no BRAWM team member, UCBNE student or staffer, or scientist. Just wanted to remind folks of a couple things:

[1] The Russian government has "officially" recognized a total 1.8 MILLION TERABEQUERELS of environmental release of radiation as having been caused by the 1986 Chernobyl disaster... However, the TRUE figure is thought to be as high as 2.6 TRILLION, and will never be known.

[2] Japanese authorities continue to place the upper range of pre-April 5 Fukushima releases at about 630,000 TERABEQUERELS. However... These are for ATMOSPHERIC RELEASE ONLY.

[3] As far as I am concerned, there has been NO even remotely credible estimate yet issued of total water-borne / sewater radiation releases / contamination from Fukushima. Their recent so-called "disclosure", that placed Fuke's TOTAL waterborne discharge at something less than the 1970s Irish Sea controlled releases, is something between a bad joke and an insult imho, though I readily admit that I am no expert and have nothing in the way of contradictory data to back that assessment up. I would love to be talked out of that particular opinion by the BRAWM team or anyone who is capable of doing so.

[4] There's been, so far, just about ZERO transparency or believable data coming out of TEPCO, JAIF, NISA, the perennoally un-respected, un-welcomed and under-served IAEA, or even our own NRC, not to mention other mission-critical agencies and cabinet- and subcabinet-level departments, since the beginning of this crisis, and it's more than beginning to feel like a slow-roll or even a rope-a-dope to this observer. However, IF the 154-terabequerel figure can be believed, then "the worst", whatever that turns out to be, looks to be very much behind us, assuming everything from here on out goes according to plan (read: more or less perfectly). I'll say this, though: if EVER we needed a calm Pacific typhoon season, it's now, folks. Not to mention: No more flippin' aftershocks.

Sorry... MILLION, NOT "TRILLION" [nt]

Rick.

wow

Yes, I'd like to know what the BRAWM team thinks of these numbers too. This seems pretty horrible but since I'm new to this whole nuclear catastrophe thing, I need some perspective from those who know more.

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