Plume forecasts

Do the Brawm team still estimate that the levels of radiation will have declined below MDA by mid April (barring any further explosions, etc)?

The forecast on NILU continues to show high levels of total column for Xe-133 for the next few days. In your opinions how long do you estimate the Xe-133 to continue for? Should this stop mid-April also?

Thanks for all your help. I appreciate everything the team is doing for us all.

Article on recent xenon

Article on recent xenon scare says that the material safety data sheet for xenon says that you can pour 100 microcuries per day per lab into the sewer.

It also says that if the skin is uniformly contaminated with Xe133, 1 microcurie /cm2 deliver a dose of 4200 mrems/hr to the basal cells of the skin.

So I don't think it's much of a concern.

article:
FEARMONGERS SPREAD Xe-131 PANIC – SAY IT BLANKETS US

4200 mRem is quite a bit,

4200 mRem is quite a bit, over 4 Rads, 1% of a lethal dose and nearly seven years worth of annual radiation.

Xe-133 is a dangerous radionuclide

was there ever any doubt.. pouring nuclear waste down the drain into public water systems is complete madness. Xe-133 is a dangerous radionuclide and it is blanketing the globe, due to the recent reactor failures at the Fukushima Dai-ichi facility.

Modeling the dispersion of radioactive releases into the atmosphere on a global scale

not sure

not sure

I suspect that we will see

I suspect that we will see an uptick for today, and maybe yesterday, because the plume was brought in with the rain clouds. If you The University of Maryland's plume trajectory forecast (http://www.atmos.umd.edu/~tcanty/hysplit/) suggests this.

We aren't sure yet when the

We aren't sure yet when the radiation will be below our ability to detect it, but our air measurements are getting close to that limit. We are eagerly awaiting our latest rain water data, which are currently being taken. Please stay tuned for more info!

I've made a comment about interpreting the NILU maps on another thread. By the way, Xe-133 has a half-life of 5.2 days (i.e., shorter than I-131) and it is not very dangerous because your body doesn't take it up.

Mark [BRAWM Team Member]

Are you sure that the body

Are you sure that the body does not take up xenon 133? I know that regular xenon is used in the medical field, so I thought we can inhale it.
Do you have any sources that show we do not take it up?

thanks

Xenon-133 IS taken up by our bodies - PLEASE CORRECT AS NEEDED

Hi Mark,

What is the source of your statement that our bodies do not take up Xe-133?

I am very concerned by your post, because I believe this is a gross misstatement of fact. Xe-133 is fat-soluble and migrates to adipose (fat) tissue in humans. Xe-133 has been used to trace fatty tissue in the body since at least the 1960s. Radioactive xenon moves through the lungs to adipose tissue, where it emits gamma rays.

See, e.g., the following Teaching Article from the Journal of Nuclear Medicine (published in the late 1970s or early 1980s). Available at http://jnm.snmjournals.org/cgi/reprint/20/5/450.pdf ():

"Analysis of ventilation, pulmonary equilibration, and pulmonary washout of Xe-133 is at present an established procedure to increase the specificity of perfusion lung scan indiagnosing pulmonary emboli (7). This radionuclide emits 81 keV gamma photons (abundance = 37%, TÂ1?2= 5.3 days). **The radioindicator has a preferential solubility in fat; heavier (i.e., fatter) subjects show a greater uptake of Xe-133 (8). The absolute retention of radio xenon in the body and in adipose tissue during a ventilation scan depends on: a) its concentration in the air mixture, b) duration of exposure to the xenon/air mixture, and c) total body fat content (8).**" [emphasis added]

See also: Bekier AM, Fatty tissue visualization 18 hours after 133Xe lung ventilation study, Nuklearmedizin. 1993 Oct;32(5):264-5. (Institute of Nuclear Medicine, Kantonsspital, St. Gallen, Switzerland.). Available at http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/1177051:

"In order to check a new rebreathing unit for ventilation investigations of the lungs with radioactive gases, a 133Xe lung ventilation study was performed in a 56-year old healthy volunteer. The contamination check on the following day triggered **a radiation warning caused by the retained xenon activity in the body** [emphasis added]. The whole-body scan performed 18 h after the inhalation showed clearly a faint delineation of the xenon activity, corresponding to the subcutaneous fatty tissue of the individual studied."

Please review and correct this post as needed ASAP, as I am sure you do not want to be misleading readers about this important part of their risk analysis.

Thank you for your time,
Erin

Erin, you are absolutely

Erin, you are absolutely right. I was sloppy in what I said in that earlier post that "it is not very dangerous because your body doesn't take it up." I meant that it is not very dangerous because its biological half-life is so short and its internal dose is tiny compared to its external dose, and its external dose is also tiny compared to other isotopes.

As the studies you cited point out, Xe-133 is indeed taken up by the body since it is routinely used as a tracer in medical studies, especially of lung function. As with any gas, it will reach equilibrium with the blood if inhaled over a period of time. Xenon appears to concentrate more in fatty tissues.

Other elements, such as iodine and cesium, are more chemically active and have very long biological half-lives. Iodine-131 has a biological half-life of 138 days, which is much longer than its radiological half-life of 8 days. So its effective half-life in the body is approximately 8 days -- i.e., essentially all of its radiation is deposited inside the body. Cesium-137 has a biological half-life of 110 days, which is much shorter than its radiological half-life of 30 years, so its effective half-life in the body is 109 days.

However xenon, like all noble gases, is not very chemically active and as a result will not remain in the body very long. The reference for those other biological half-lives says Xe-133 has a biological half-life of only "a few minutes". To get a better number, there is journal article I found about this: Aitken, et al. "Estimates of Radiation Absorbed Doses from Radioxenons in Lung Imaging", Journal of Nuclear Medicine 21:459-465. In it the authors list the "biological disappearance half-time" of xenon. The majority of the xenon that has been absorbed (78%) has a 21.7 second half-time, while smaller fractions have longer half-times -- the longest is 10.5 hours (2.4% of the xenon). So the overall timescale of xenon leaving the body is on average only a few minutes, but a lot is gone within only seconds.

Another point about Xe-133 is that health physicists have quantified the amount of internal dose (from inhalation) and external dose (from the gas being around you) for Xe-133 gas, and internal dose is insignificant compared to the external dose. From this answer to a question about dose from noble gases on the Health Physics Society website:

"In the International Commission on Radiological Protection (ICRP) Publication 30 (Pergamon Press 1979), the authors show that for the noble gases the radiation dose to a person's body from external radiation... is more than 130 times higher than the dose from any gas contained in the person's lungs, and more than 200 times higher than any gas which may have crossed over into the body tissues. So they provide only dose factors that give the external radiation dose per unit time (Sv/h) per unit radioactivity in the air (Bq/m^3). Similar factors are given by the International Atomic Energy Agency in their 'Safety Series 115' report and are recommended for use in radiation protection in these circumstances."

This is reflected in the Nuclear Regulatory Commission's Table of dose limits for Xe-133. The table only lists a DAC (derived air concentration) not an ALI (annual limit on intake). The DAC is calculated from an external dose limit -- i.e., what exposure are you getting from the air around you -- while the ALI refers to internal dose through ingestion or inhalation -- this is what we use in our calculations for dose from water that contains I-131 and Cs-137, for example. The outside dose is the only important effect if Xe-133 is present in the air.

By the way, comparing the DAC for Xe-133 to that of I-131, we see that Xe-133's DAC is 5,000 times that of I-131. So compared to I-131, Xe-133 is that much less dangerous if present in the air around you.

So the bottom line is: Xe-133 does not stay in the body very long, and it's not very dangerous even if it's in the air around you.

Mark [BRAWM Team Member]

Xenon safety

Warning found on Bristol-Myers Squib HUMAN PRESCRIPTION DRUG LABEL for 5% Xe and 95%Co2: "Xenon Xe 133, as well as other radioactive drugs, must be handled with care and appropriate safety measures should be used to minimize radiation exposure to clinical personnel. Also, care should be taken to minimize radiation exposure to patients consistent with proper patient management."
Why do we need to minimize exposure to clinical personnel for such a 'safe' compound. No warning label like this is found on pure water. Perhaps you are saying that it is safer than other compounds released from Fukushima. I have to agree that ingestion of xenon is safer than ingestion of plutonium, but is it not also safer to be run over by a bicycle than a truck? Surely you're not making the argument that it better to lose a finger than the whole arm.

unless you are pregnant or

unless you are pregnant or an infant...

Thank you, that was

Thank you, that was excellent, very informative!

Great post Mark

Many thanks.

WH

Thanks

Thank you Mark for the research.

eat a banana, go to jail continued...

eat a banana, go to jail. that is the answer.

Thanks for NILU comments

Thank you for the link to your NILU comments and the info regarding Xe-133 isotope's half-life.
And I know it has been said already, but many, many thanks for the team's hard work and efforts!

Looking forward to the new rain water data!

The NILU link is not active.

That is a little good news

But you may be eager, while I am worried. I am anxious to know the results.

I am worried that the rain tests will show upticks. I damn sure hope not.

Despite my critique in another thread I sam truly grateful for your team's work.

Thanks, Mark - I appreciate

Thanks, Mark - I appreciate your quick response.

nilu useful for japan

For those advocating that the closure of all the possible fallout predictions based on weather was because it's no longer useful (and never was because it was only 'worst case cenario'). Consider those closer to the meltdown, ie. Japanese people who were viewing it also. Now they only have the local wind directions and their geiger counters. If you lived in Japan I bet you'd figure it was worst case cineario