"Hot Particles"

Can anyone on the BRAWM team educate me a little on the hot particles issue? No doubt, many (if not all)of us have inhaled lead, thorium, uranium, cesium even pre-FK. Gunderson makes the point in a recent interview that during the worst of the FK meltdown, an adult in Seattle probably inhaled 10 "hot particles" per day.

To me, the inhalation issue sounds scarier than ingestion, probably because you can pick and choose what you eat and drink, but you can't buy bottled air.

How well studied is the inhalation of this stuff? Is it at all?

BTW, new Gunderson at www.chrismartenson.com. Worthwhile summation of current joy at FukuShima.

Hi Mark, Yes, it is

Hi Mark,
Yes, it is frustrating to me, too, that I also cannot find the original source from which Arnie Gundersen got his 'special filters' that have measured the "hot flea particles" to result in the 5 particles breathed in per day in Seattle by the average person. Mr. Gundersen seems to carefully protect his sources. Perhaps his sources are afraid they will be fired from their jobs should their identity become known, just as Arnie was fired for airing nuclear problems in the United States. Again, even though I cannot locate the source for Arnie's "5 hot particles", it has not escaped me how many of the things that Gundersen has surmised about the Fukushima disaster, ultimately have come to pass. And, so it is.

Blessing to you, Mark!
Angusmerlin

Oh, as to why the number of

Oh, as to why the number of "hot particles" per day is important, I believe these measured results and calculations are based on the average person, yes. So, the higher the number of particles that the 'average' person is likely to breathe on a given day, the more likely a real living person will actually breathe in such a dangerous radioactive particle on any day; especially a "hot particle" that may well attach itself to the lungs, or to the intestinal tract. The rest, I will not even think about.

10 HOTS

http://www.chrismartenson.com/martensonreport/part-2-arnie-gundersen-int...

Chris Martenson: Alright, to wrap this up, I am just interested in for all of our listeners who may live in Japan or live in the West Coast or wherever they may be; if there is an aftershock and if Building four sort of topples over what would your advice be, I heard your advice to the people in Japan, get on a plane if possible or get far away or know which way the wind is moving and go in the other direction. What would you do if you were in the United States and you saw that that had happened?

Arnie Gundersen: Well, I am in touch with some scientists now who have been monitoring the air on the West Coast and in Seattle for instance, in April, the average person in Seattle breathed in 10 hot particles a day.

Chris Martenson: What? I did not know that.

Correction of I-131 inhalation estimate

I just realized that I made a mistake in that earlier post when I estimated the number of I-131 decays one would be breathing per day at the peak of our measurements (I have since struck out the error).

In order to do a proper estimate, one needs to divide up the total volume someone breathes in a day into individual breaths. One needs to use the number of liters per breath, the duration of each breath, and the total number of breaths per day. I used these average numbers:

Duration of breath: 15 per minute
Number of breaths per day: 22,000 per day
Number of liters breathed per day: 6600 L/day
Liters per breath: 0.30 L

Using 4.3E-6 Bq/L, then the number of decays of I-131 breathed per day would have been 0.11 per day, or 1 every 9 days.

Mark [BRAWM Team Member]

Mark- Very helpful. This is

Mark-

Very helpful. This is of course just I-131, which was the most prevalent component of the fallout, I would think that the cesium component would maybe double or triple the "decays per day" experienced, yes? Which would mean more exposure, but still very small. One decay every three days is not scary.

Also, has there been any work done on gaseous isotopes vs. solid ones? Ie, I find it easy to think that a person could breathe in/breathe out I-131, experiencing whatever decays may happen during that breath cycle. Similarly with gaseous radon. But a particle of cesium oxide I can see possibly sticking inside the lung, much like it would in an air filter, and thus making it's cycle in the body much longer. Obviously lungs have an affinity for retaining particles (think black lung and a hundred other "dust" caused ailments of the lung).

Again, thanks for your work here.

BC

Hi BC, I think your point is

Hi BC, I think your point is right on — that exposure to the fission products would not occur just from decays while they are in the air in our lungs, but what they are attached to matters, since they may build up in the lungs. The radioactive isotopes are probably attached to small aerosol particles, but not much is known about this yet.

My earlier estimate is limited since it doesn't account for buildup, but at least it can be directly compared to the radon estimate below. The radon daughters also attach to small air particles, so they probably exhibit the same behavior as fission products from Japan in terms of getting stuck inside our lungs. One huge difference is that some of the radon daughters are alpha emitters, so the actual dose (not just the decay rate) will be much much larger from the radon progenies than the dose from fission products, which are beta/gamma emitters. So comparing the fission product estimate to the radon estimate at least gives some sense of the scale between the two.

This potential for lung buildup is taken into account when calculating inhalation exposure, as we do in our dose conversions — it is not done using my simple estimate above. We use standard inhalation dose conversions which account for this.

Mark [BRAWM Team Member]

Mark- Thanks for this. I can

Mark-

Thanks for this. I can see how "everyday" radon daughters riding on dust particles are a somewhat decent analog for fallout.

BC

"I would think that the

"I would think that the cesium component would maybe double or triple the "decays per day" experienced, yes? "

Why is that? Usually shorter half life isotopes are much more active, they generate more decays per second, etc... (I think)

BC was guessing this since

BC was guessing this since often the three isotopes have roughly similar activities (decays per second). On our peak day for air, there were five isotopes measured:

I-131: 4.3E-6 Bq/L
Cs-134: 1.1E-6 Bq/L
Cs-137: 1.2E-6 Bq/L
I-132: 1.1E-6 Bq/L
Te-132: 0.88E-6 Bq/L

So the others would approximately double the total number of "decays per second."

Of course, the total dose from all of these is the more important number — not all decays are equal in this sense. This is quantified in terms of airplane flights in our table.

Mark [BRAWM Team Member]

Airplane Flights...

I need to point out it is misleading to quantify this internal exposure in airplane flights. Exposure on a plane does not involve particles lodging in the lungs. This omission leads to the exclusion of alpha decay which for an absorbed particle does magnitudes more chromosomal damage than gamma or beta decays.

Finally, the 1in/1out model above ignores buildup of particles in the lungs. So comparing your incomplete model to airplane rides (which is a completely contained scenario) is unfair and doesn't judge the full scope of the exposure risk.

It's important to consider this distinction when dealing with embedded particles in living tissue.

I just commented on this

I just commented on this above, since someone else had asked a similar point. You are exactly right that my simple estimate neglected buildup in the lungs, so I had also estimated the same decay rate from radon progenies, which should be directly comparable — except for the fact that some radon progenies are alpha emitters, whereas the fission products are not.

Also, the dose conversion we do when we make the airplane flight equivalence does not use my simple estimate above. For that, we use standard inhalation exposure dose conversions, which account for buildup and uptake of the inhaled substances.

Mark [BRAWM Team Member]

Thanks!

Thanks!

Understood, thanks!

Understood, thanks!

Cesium oxide probably

Cesium oxide probably wouldn't be the form a Cesium compound would take. Because of the amount of salt water bear the site, I would expect Cesium Hydroxide and Cesium Chloride to be the most produced compounds.

Cesium Hydroxide is a strong base and would probably react significantly with other compounds.

Cesium Chloride is a salt that would dissolve and coat surfaces. Since Cs-137 is ionizing, it's possible that these compounds would be unstable as well. But all compounds want to be at rest, so CsCl is probably what you'd find.

Caesium Chloride can irritate the mucous membranes and cause asthma.

Wow, so maybe what people

Wow, so maybe what people have been describing on the other threads could be real symptoms from low level CsCL in the air. Interesting.

This could explain a lot.

This could explain a lot. Perhaps also a salty taste of rain and snow I seemed to notice a few weeks ago? Could the Cesium chloride also act as nuclei for rain formation, similar to silveriodid that's used for cloud seeding? (as there have been record amounts of rain on the northwest coast in May). Perhaps too speculative, but interesting to see if anyone has any scientific opinion on this.

Interesting that would

Interesting that would mention that...I also noticed the salty rain a few weeks back. Bizarre.

Also forgot to mention that

Also forgot to mention that 137-CsCl is used as a radiotracer for PET scans for both heart attacks and cancer diagnoses.

Activity breathed due to radon

I just did a calculation for how much activity the average American breathes in per day, from Radon-222 and its decay products. I got the numbers from the UNSCEAR 2000 Report Vol. I, Annex B, Table 24: Radon concentrations in dwellings determined in indoor surveys. I used the "geometric average" for U.S. indoor radon measurements of 25 Becquerels per cubic meter (1 Bq/m3 = 1,000 Bq/L). Using the numbers from my previous comment, I estimate 650 per day inhaled by the average person. That is, one breathes in a radioactive decay of Rn-222 or its progenies every 2 minutes. This is why an estimated 50% of our natural radiation exposure comes from radon and its decay products — that and the fact that many of its decay products are alpha emitters. This is a much higher rate than anything we have detected from Fukushima. Mark [BRAWM Team Member]

Just to point out, Gunderson

Just to point out, Gunderson claims 10 "particles" per day, whereas your "650 per day" is "decays".
Therefore to compare we need to factor by the number of Bq emitted by one hot particle. A quick Google finds figures anywhere between 1-100 Bq per particle.
So depending on size, the two may be roughly comparable?

Good thinking. They could

Good thinking. They could be comparable, but there are some other considerations. I did that Radon calculation to get a sense for how many decays occur in the air we are breathing in. The number of alpha decays inside our lungs is almost certainly much greater than my estimate, because the radon progenies could stick inside the lungs before they alpha decay.

However, the radon progenies would get distributed more or less evenly throughout the lungs, while one of those particles would irradiate a small area for a long time.

So it's still not clear to me where the higher risk lies.

Mark [BRAWM Team Member]

Mark - Here's the part

Mark -

Here's the part regarding the "10 particle per day" from the Chris Martenson interview w/Arnie Gunderson.

"Arnie Gundersen: Well, I am in touch with some scientists now who have been monitoring the air on the West Coast and in Seattle for instance, in April, the average person in Seattle breathed in 10 hot particles a day.

Chris Martenson: What? I did not know that.

Arnie Gundersen: Well, the report takes some time to make its way into the literature. The average human being breathes about 10 meters a day of air, cubic meters of air. And the air out in the Seattle area are detecting, when they pull 10 cubic meters through them, this is in April now, so we are in the end of May so it is a better situation now. That air filter will have 10 hot particles on it."

The second part of the

The second part of the Gunderson interview is now free access, all should read:

http://www.chrismartenson.com/martensonreport/part-2-arnie-gundersen-int...

BC

Mark- I will post further on

Mark-

I will post further on this tomorrow, It is in part 2 (behind paywall), but there are no refs.

One very cool thing I learned is that Gunderson has been getting vehicle air filters from Japan to test. That is brilliant. If you want an air filter from my Lambo, lemme know, I'll put it in the mail :)

BTW, per his word, air filters from Japan have been both benign and UGLY. I do feel that this man is trying to do right, and is not a fear-monger , schill, etc.

Thank you for your team's work. I value it immensely.

BC

From the same interview,

From the same interview, part 1, RE: Vehicle air filters from Tokyo-

"Arnie Gundersen: Yes I followed it and I am as confused as you are. Individuals have sent Fairewinds some car air filters from Tokyo and they turn out to be one of the ideal ways of measuring ways of radiation, because they trap a lot of these hot particles. And had one person with seven filters and they ran a body shop or something and five of the filters were fine. And two were incredibly radioactive. So what that tells me is that the plume was not regular and you’ll have places where there was not much deposition and you’ll have places where there was a lot of deposition. That same thing happened up to the north, but within Tokyo it seems like wherever the official results were being reported didn’t really represent the worst conditions of the plume. And I saw that on Three Mile Island – we shouldn’t be surprised that a plume meanders and a plume may miss a major radiation detector by a quarter of a mile and not be detected. It doesn’t mean it's not there, it means we just didn’t detect it."

Gundersen's also warning

Gundersen's also warning that if building 4 falls over from an aftershock, that the spent fuel pool would spill on the ground. In that case he mentions it could catch fire and for people in Japan to evacuate and those on the US west coast to take added precautions. Wet dusting, wearing filter masks outside, keeping windows closed, HEPA filter in every room, etc.

He mentions that there is no way to defuel the SPFs in reactors 3 or 4 because the cranes were damaged and transfer needs to happen under water, not in open air. There is currently no way to do this until a new structure is built. That puts the risk higher because of how long it would take, and the chance of a mag. 8+ aftershock being greatest up to 6 months after the initial quake.

Here's to hoping it doesn't happen.

This needs to be plastered

This needs to be plastered over every news outlet---bold front and center, PLANETARY WARNING--and the sheeple need to wake up and dispose of the parasites quickening their trance-like disposition of life on Earth.

But let me first ask you:

How many of you would torture to every last breath of your being our divine planet if it simply meant a cool billion in your bank accounts? You disrespect business tycoons like Jack Welch, I see that, but if you could plunder the planet just the same---indeed creating billions and billons of economic value---and skip off with all your unlimited loot to your own private island, would you?

Jack played the game and in his eyes and the eyes of most, he won. He's a winner. A winner with no time for losers like you and all the rest of your treehugging brethren.

Jack may have played a role in the earth-hating doctrine of industrialism. He may have played a very succesful role in that. But the system rewawrded his efforts and I would expect him to feel very proud of his achievements, without any significant regrets.

Maybe one day you too will be your own "Jack Welch" --- President, CEO, Winner Extraordinare.

2011 is no time for cynicism.

In sum --- Dream Big, my

In sum --- Dream Big, my friend, Dream Big.

Part-II

I don't see Gundersen saying

I don't see Gundersen saying anything about receiving air filters from Japan anywhere in that transcript.

Now I found it in part I,

Now I found it in part I, sorry about that.

Gundersen interview

The Chris Martenson interview with Arnie Gundersen (I read the transcript) was so compelling that I even agreed to pay the $30 for a one month membership so that I could read the last installment. But, you don't need to do that----there is plenty of info in the bulk of the interview that is posted for free. A MUST SEE (or read) interview where Arnie gives us the very latest summary of what's what (not good) and what could be (well, not good either....). He makes special mention of the 4th reactor which is, well, not good.

Truly elucidating!

He explains the great mystery about why we are still seeing radioactive iodine, even though it has an eight day half-life.

I think that everyone on this site will feel that they know a lot more after reading (or watching) this interview.

Chernobyl killed 56.

Chernobyl killed 56.

How many did it bring misery

How many did it bring misery to?

DUMB as DIRT...you need to

DUMB as DIRT...you need to be dragged out back and given the "ol' yella" treatment!

Chernobyl killed 56. The

Chernobyl killed 56. The 4000 cancer deaths correspond to a rise of about 1% in cancer mortality in the affected population - so small we can't even verify whether they actually happened. No other power reactor has ever killed a member of the public.

Nuclear fuel is not amazingly lethal. When fresh, it can be handled with gloves. After it's used up, a few meters of water is enough to shield you from radiation. (I have a photo of a friend standing above a spent fuel pool of a research reactor, wearing just a regular lab coat.)

Reference

I wanted to back up the poster by pointing out that this is basically the official number arrived at by a large UN study. Here is the reference so that people can look it up themselves: United Nations Scientific Committee on the Effects of Atomic Radiation (UNSCEAR) Reports on Chernobyl (1988–2008) Some quotes from the summary:
The accident at the Chernobyl nuclear reactor that occurred on 26 April 1986 was the most serious accident ever to occur in the nuclear power industry. The reactor was destroyed in the accident and considerable amounts of radioactive material were released to the environment. The accident caused the deaths, within a few weeks, of 30 workers and radiation injuries to over a hundred others. In response, the authorities evacuated, in 1986, about 115,000 people from areas surrounding the reactor and subsequently relocated, after 1986, about 220,000 people from Belarus, the Russian Federation and Ukraine. The accident caused serious social and psychological disruption in the lives of those affected and vast economic losses over the entire region. Large areas of the three countries were contaminated with radioactive materials, and radionuclides from the Chernobyl release were measurable in all countries of the northern hemisphere. Among the residents of Belarus, the Russian Federation and Ukraine, there had been up to the year 2005 more than 6,000 cases of thyroid cancer reported in children and adolescents who were exposed at the time of the accident, and more cases can be expected during the next decades. Notwithstanding the influence of enhanced screening regimes, many of those cancers were most likely caused by radiation exposures shortly after the accident. Apart from this increase, there is no evidence of a major public health impact attributable to radiation exposure two decades after the accident. There is no scientific evidence of increases in overall cancer incidence or mortality rates or in rates of non-malignant disorders that could be related to radiation exposure. The incidence of leukaemia in the general population, one of the main concerns owing to the shorter time expected between exposure and its occurrence compared with solid cancers, does not appear to be elevated. Although those most highly exposed individuals are at an increased risk of radiation-associated effects, the great majority of the population is not likely to experience serious health consequences as a result of radiation from the Chernobyl accident. Many other health problems have been noted in the populations that are not related to radiation exposure. ... The Chernobyl accident caused many severe radiation effects almost immediately. Of 600 workers present on the site during the early morning of 26 April 1986, 134 received high doses (0.8-16 Gy) and suffered from radiation sickness. Of these, 28 died in the first three months and another 19 died in 1987-2004 of various causes not necessarily associated with radiation exposure. In addition, according to the UNSCEAR 2008 Report, the majority of the 530,000 registered recovery operation workers received doses of between 0.02 Gy and 0.5 Gy between 1986 and 1990. That cohort is still at potential risk of late consequences such as cancer and other diseases and their health will be followed closely. ... Apart from the dramatic increase in thyroid cancer incidence among those exposed at a young age, and some indication of an increased leukaemia and cataract incidence among the workers, there is no clearly demonstrated increase in the incidence of solid cancers or leukaemia due to radiation in the exposed populations. Neither is there any proof of other non-malignant disorders that are related to ionizing radiation. However, there were widespread psychological reactions to the accident, which were due to fear of the radiation, not to the actual radiation doses.
Mark [BRAWM Team Member]

Huh...Not really any mention of this in that report

Huh...Not really any mention of this in that report

http://www.google.com/search?um=1&hl=en&biw=1280&bih=699&tbm=isch&sa=1&q...

The Russians today admit it was ALOT more than 56

http://www.strahlentelex.de/Yablokov%20Chernobyl%20book.pdf

The IEA and the WHO have been in bed since the 1950's.

When you wake up a realize that Western Governmnets helped to cover up Chernobyl, just like the Soviets, then you will realize that Fukashima is MUCH worse and not a game. There is an old saying, "figures don't lie, but liars can figure".

This is not CLADDED and COOLED spent fuel, it was MOX fuel that burnt off and blew up, and out into the stratosphere.

AND Multiple times, as 4-5 of the 6 reactors went critical.

What is left now is all over the place, and the UNCLADDED ( dammaged) spent fuel is cooking in some the 1,700 TONS in Fukashima's spent ( but not cool enough to dry cask) fuel rods...

The link I posted above is a much petter PEER REVIEWED reference than what you posted. READ IT, and you will understand why they come up with a much larger number, based on medical documentation, etc.

The whole issue of mortality

The whole issue of mortality caused by nuclear fallout appears extremely controversial. Other viewpoints/studies suggest a much higher mortality rate of Chernobyl, compared to that found by the United Nations Scientific Committee on the Effects of Atomic Radiation (UNSCEAR) Reports on Chernobyl (1988–2008):

--Greenpeace International:
Chernobyl death toll grossly underestimated
(April 18, 2006)
"A new Greenpeace report has revealed that the full consequences of the Chernobyl disaster could top a quarter of a million cancer cases and nearly 100,000 fatal cancers."
http://www.greenpeace.org/international/en/news/features/chernobyl-death...

--Only 50 deaths caused by Chernobyl?
Press Release by IPPNW Germany on its new study
A. Claussen (Berlin, April 6 2006):
"A report published today by the physician's organisation IPPNW in Germany and the German Society for Radiation Protection contradicts the claim by the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) that less than 50 people died as a result of the accident at Chernobyl (see IAEA press release of September 5th 2005)."
http://www.ippnw-students.org/chernobyl/research.html

--Interesting discussion as to why actual mortality difficult to determine.
"Chernobyl nuclear accident: figures for deaths and cancers still in dispute
• Suspected infant mortality rise difficult to prove
• Predicted deaths range from 4,000 to half a million
(John Vidal, environment editor
guardian.co.uk, Sunday 10 January 2010 18.15 GMT
Article history)"
http://www.guardian.co.uk/global-development

--ISIS Report 06/17/2010
The Institute of Science in Society:
'The Truth about Chernobyl'
Senior Russian scientists document deaths and illnesses from Chernobyl 100 times those reported by the International Atomic Energy Agency.
(Prof. Peter Saunders)
http://www.i-sis.org.uk/theTruthAboutChernobyl.php

--Re the United States, Pennsylvania, "Epidemiologist Steve Wing discusses increases in cancer rates after the Three Mile Island Accident."
(Video, 03/26/2009)
http://fairewinds.com/content/seven-wing-presentation-tmi-health-effects

Radiation Experts Determine 200,000 Cancers Likely from Fukushim

Finally, radiation expert Chris Busby estimates that over 200,000 will die from cancers due to exposures to Fukushima emitted radiation.

The Health Outcome of the Fukushima Catastrophe Initial Analysis from Risk Model of the European Committee on Radiation Risk ECRR By: Chris Busby:

http://fairewinds.com/content/health-outcome-fukushima-catastrophe-initi...

Reality

Shortly after Chernobyl Lagarsav (Gorbachev's appointed physicist) presented an impact study at the IAEA conference showing 40,000 new cancers would result. The IAEA reduced this number to 4,000 and released it in the official findings.

Lagarsav committed suicide a few years later on the anniversary of the Chernobyl. The meetings were closed door with no press so we have no idea what went on... It is probable he agreed in some way to reduced estimates allowing a more acceptable number to be published.

In reality the "official figures" are frequently biased to support the nuclear power industry as the corporate leaders have determined an isolated Chernobyl or Fukushima is not significant enough to stop investing in nuclear power.

And I would agree with them, If I hadn't live in Japan.

The 8 assumptions of Nuclear Power:

- Materials will not run out or become prohibitively expensive to mine (Peak uranium, Peak thorium, Etc.)
- Waste Disposal problems will be solved (40+ years on and no country has adequate disposal methods)
- Wars will never occur in the future (Targeting nuclear power is a given tactic of modern warfare)
- Economies will always be strong enough to decommission plants (Ukraine is now stuck with aging nuclear plants it cannot afford to retire)
- Low level radiation is not harmful (Ignores Bioaccumulation and Petkau's findings).
- Natural Disasters won't exceed power plant specifications (Fukushima).
- Industry Risk Assessments account for every possibility (Really?, Computer Viruses, Solar Flares, Bankrupted states, Changing weather systems, Wars, Solid Body Ocean Impacts, ???)
- Nuclear Power is efficient (Japan has 54 plants and only generates ~30% of total power needs from these plants.)

For a more complete understanding of Chernobyl's impact I can suggest Yablakov and Nesterenko's book "Chernobyl", Published in 2009 by NYAS (with an index) it brings roughly 8,000 independent studies from Belorussia and surrounding territories into one english work.

Humans need to expand their consciousness to recognize the plight of others and to realize it is their own plight, perhaps not this week or this year or even this life, but what we see around us are 'possible experiences' and any one of these can be ours and many have likely been or will be. To not work towards the improvement of all possible experiences is to forfeit goodness.

- anthony bisset

http://www.nuclear-codex.org

hot particle

Not sure but perhaps the " hot particle" data or some of the data that Mr. Gunderson is referencing, is from Marco Kaltofen, he is working on the data reports and will be publishing it soon. Marco is the person that Mrs. Gunderson interviewed in her video last month.

I read about the Legasov suicide. You can find the tale here about Legasov's testament, "My duty is to tell about this....." as he speaks of how he needed to tell about the events. This book is a nice one to scan through.
It includes many reference points from Chernobyl. The burden was too much for this physicist to contain within his own mind.

http://www.scribd.com/doc/40414231/Chernobyl-Record

I'm not getting the joke if

I'm not getting the joke if this is one. I heard a million people died.

Right

.

Like WW2 killed 56.

I got that from

I got that from cold-calculating nuclear advocate in the comments section of a Bill Gates TED Talk.

I bought a membership as

I bought a membership as well.

I am the OP. Again I forgot

I am the OP. Again I forgot to put my ID in :).

I also bought the membership to CM.

I wonder- what I-131 is he referring to? The last I-131 I have seen anyone catch was Cali Dept Health San Luis Obispo milk sample....

BC

WPI

I think a lot of his information is coming from that work that WPI did, and probably other networks on information that he's hooked into.

I thought the air filter info was very interesting, also pointing to how tricky testing for this stuff is.

I still contend if you move in from the coast, where air pockets accumulate in the valley, you might also see some interesting/disturbing testing results.

Hot particles and lung cancer statistics

An old paper, suggesting 1/2000 chance of lung cancer per hot particle induced lesion. No idea how many hot particles statistically must be inhaled on average for a lesion to occur... but then I didn't read the whole paper.

http://docs.google.com/viewer?a=v&q=cache:lSp0zqeNobsJ:docs.nrdc.org/nuc...